The following are the top rated Consumer Cyclical stocks according to Validea’s Growth Investor model based on the published strategy of Martin Zweig. This strategy looks for growth stocks with persistent accelerating earnings and sales growth, reasonable valuations and low debt.
DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK) is a mid-cap growth stock in the Footwear industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Martin Zweig is 85% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a designer, marketer and distributor of footwear, apparel, and accessories developed for both everyday casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities. The Company operates through six operating segments, the UGG brand segment offers footwear, apparel, and accessories with expanded product offerings. HOKA Brand segment provides footwear and apparel that offers enhanced cushioning and inherent stability with minimal weight. Teva Brand segment is a multi-category modern outdoor lifestyle brand offering a range of casual, and trail lifestyle products. Sanuk Brand segment is a lifestyle brand with a presence in the relaxed casual shoe and sandal categories. Other Brands segment consist of the Koolaburra by UGG brand. The Koolaburra brand is a casual footwear fashion line using sheepskin and other plush materials. The Direct-to-Consumer segment consist of retail stores and e-commerce websites which, in an omni-channel marketplace, are intertwined.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| REVENUE GROWTH IN RELATION TO EPS GROWTH: | FAIL |
| SALES GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| CURRENT QUARTER EARNINGS: | PASS |
| QUARTERLY EARNINGS ONE YEAR AGO: | PASS |
| POSITIVE EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR CURRENT QUARTER: | PASS |
| EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL QUARTERS: | FAIL |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN PRIOR 3 QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN THE HISTORICAL GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| EARNINGS PERSISTENCE: | PASS |
| LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: | PASS |
| TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: | PASS |
| INSIDER TRANSACTIONS: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP
POOL CORPORATION (POOL) is a large-cap growth stock in the Recreational Products industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Martin Zweig is 85% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Pool Corporation is a distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment and related leisure products. The Company is a distributor of irrigation and landscape products in the United States. The Company operates sales centers in North America, Europe and Australia through its distribution networks, which includes SCP Distributors (SCP), Superior Pool Products (Superior), Horizon Distributors (Horizon), National Pool Tile (NPT) and Sun Wholesale Supply, Inc. (Sun Wholesale). The Company’s NPT network primarily serves the swimming pool market but does provide some overlap with the irrigation and landscape industries as it offers its brand of pool tile, composite pool finish products and hardscapes. It also offers virtual tools for homeowners to select and design their pool and outdoor environments, working with their chosen contractors to install these products. The Company offers its products to swimming pool remodelers and builders, specialty retailers, and among others.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| REVENUE GROWTH IN RELATION TO EPS GROWTH: | FAIL |
| SALES GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| CURRENT QUARTER EARNINGS: | PASS |
| QUARTERLY EARNINGS ONE YEAR AGO: | PASS |
| POSITIVE EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR CURRENT QUARTER: | PASS |
| EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN PRIOR 3 QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN THE HISTORICAL GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| EARNINGS PERSISTENCE: | PASS |
| LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: | PASS |
| TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: | PASS |
| INSIDER TRANSACTIONS: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of POOL CORPORATION
ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC. (ETD) is a small-cap value stock in the Furniture & Fixtures industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Martin Zweig is 77% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. is an interior design company. The Company is a manufacturer and retailer in the home furnishings marketplace. It is an international home fashion brand that is vertically integrated from design through delivery. The Company operates through two segments: wholesale and retail. It provides complimentary interior design service to clients and sell a wide range of home furnishings through a retail network of approximately 300 design centers in the United States and abroad as well as online at ethanallen.com. The wholesale segment is principally involved in the development of the Ethan Allen brand and encompasses all aspects of design, manufacturing, sourcing, marketing, sale, and distribution of broad range of home furnishings and accents. It operates approximately 141 retail design centers with 136 located in the United States and five in Canada. The Company owns and operates nine manufacturing facilities.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| REVENUE GROWTH IN RELATION TO EPS GROWTH: | FAIL |
| SALES GROWTH RATE: | FAIL |
| CURRENT QUARTER EARNINGS: | PASS |
| QUARTERLY EARNINGS ONE YEAR AGO: | PASS |
| POSITIVE EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR CURRENT QUARTER: | PASS |
| EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN PRIOR 3 QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN THE HISTORICAL GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| EARNINGS PERSISTENCE: | FAIL |
| LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: | PASS |
| TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: | PASS |
| INSIDER TRANSACTIONS: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of ETHAN ALLEN INTERIORS INC.
G-III APPAREL GROUP, LTD. (GIII) is a small-cap value stock in the Apparel/Accessories industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Martin Zweig is 77% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets a range of apparel, including outerwear, dresses, sportswear, swimwear, women’s suits, and women’s performance wear, as well as women’s handbags, footwear, small leather goods, cold weather accessories and luggage. The Company’s segments include wholesale operations and retail operations. The wholesale operations segment includes sales of products to retailers under-owned, licensed, and private label brands, as well as sales related to the Vilebrequin business. The retail operations segment consists of direct sales to consumers through its Company-operated stores and through digital channels. It consists of its DKNY and Karl Lagerfeld Paris stores, as well as the digital channels for DKNY, Donna Karan, Karl Lagerfeld Paris, G.H. Bass, Andrew Marc and Wilsons Leather. Its digital business consists of its own Web platforms at www.dkny.com, www.donnakaran.com, www.ghbass.com, www.vilebrequin.com, and www.andrewmarc.com.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| REVENUE GROWTH IN RELATION TO EPS GROWTH: | FAIL |
| SALES GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| CURRENT QUARTER EARNINGS: | PASS |
| QUARTERLY EARNINGS ONE YEAR AGO: | PASS |
| POSITIVE EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR CURRENT QUARTER: | PASS |
| EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN PRIOR 3 QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN THE HISTORICAL GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| EARNINGS PERSISTENCE: | FAIL |
| LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: | PASS |
| TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: | PASS |
| INSIDER TRANSACTIONS: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of G-III APPAREL GROUP, LTD.
GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC (USA) (GIL) is a mid-cap value stock in the Apparel/Accessories industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Martin Zweig is 77% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Gildan Activewear Inc. is a Canada-based, vertically integrated manufacturer of everyday basic apparel, including activewear, underwear, and hosiery products. The Company’s primary product categories include activewear tops and bottoms (activewear), socks (hosiery), underwear tops and bottoms (underwear) and intimates. Its activewear product lines include T-shirts, fleece tops and bottoms, and sports shirts. Its hosiery product lines include athletic, dress, casual and workwear socks, liner socks, socks for therapeutic purposes, sheer panty hose, tights, and leggings. Its underwear product lines include men’s and boy’s underwear (tops and bottoms) and ladies panties. The Company’s intimates product lines include ladies shapewear, intimates, and accessories. The products it manufactures, and sells are marketed under Company brands, including Gildan, American Apparel, Comfort Colors, Gildan Hammer, Alstyle and GoldToe. It also sells socks under the Under Armour brand.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| REVENUE GROWTH IN RELATION TO EPS GROWTH: | FAIL |
| SALES GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| CURRENT QUARTER EARNINGS: | PASS |
| QUARTERLY EARNINGS ONE YEAR AGO: | PASS |
| POSITIVE EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR CURRENT QUARTER: | PASS |
| EARNINGS GROWTH RATE FOR THE PAST SEVERAL QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN PRIOR 3 QUARTERS: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH FOR CURRENT QUARTER MUST BE GREATER THAN THE HISTORICAL GROWTH RATE: | PASS |
| EARNINGS PERSISTENCE: | FAIL |
| LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: | PASS |
| TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: | PASS |
| INSIDER TRANSACTIONS: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC (USA)
More details on Validea’s Martin Zweig strategy
About Martin Zweig: During the 15 years that it was monitored, Zweig’s stock recommendation newsletter returned an average of 15.9 percent per year, during which time it was ranked number one based on risk-adjusted returns by Hulbert Financial Digest. Zweig has managed both mutual and hedge funds during his career, and he’s put the fortune he’s compiled to some interesting uses. He has owned what Forbes reported was the most expensive apartment in New York, a $70 million penthouse that sits atop Manhattan’s Pierre Hotel, and he is a collector of all sorts of pop culture and historical memorabilia — among his purchases are the gun used by Clint Eastwood in “Dirty Harry”, a stock certificate signed by Commodore Vanderbilt, and even two old-fashioned gas pumps similar to those he’d seen at a nearby gas station while growing up in Cleveland, according to published reports.
About Validea: Validea is an investment research service that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
